Prof. Dr. Yong Phuworawan, Head of the Center specializes in clinical virology. Department of Pediatrics Faculty of Medicine Chulalongkorn University Posted a message via Facebook page Yong Poovorawan stated that…
The Covid-19 outbreak is on an uptrend.
Yong Phuworawan 20 February 2022
as already mentioned Species that tend to go fast BA.2 We can’t escape. The outbreak is currently on an uptrend in Asia. Singapore has a population ten times less than us and has more than fifteen thousand cases. Japan is up to almost a hundred thousand. Korea is the same. in comparison more than us
It can be seen that changing the species each time the number of patients in our home will increase by 10 times from the first wave in tens, wave 2 in hundreds, and wave 3 in thousands. Wave 4 encounters tens of thousands of delta species. This time it was a ripple of 5 Omicron species. Not sure if it’s going to be up to hundreds of thousands or not. I don’t want to see numbers go up like that.
Yesterday I attended a webinar with Indonesia and Wan Yen gave a lecture on Child Diseases and Egypt on the subject of covid-19. We have to accept the truth. This disease in Asia must reach its peak and then descend further. It will take some time. In Europe and America it is already down.
a phone call comes in Especially there are many new patients asking for advice. It shows a large number of cases and most of them are family addicts. and will stick to the whole family
The number of infected people in our home is on an uptrend. What will the maximum amount be? It may reach 3-5 thousand or more. Now it’s clear that if we combine RT PCR confirmed cases with ATK, it’s likely to have exceeded 25,000 and look at the mortality rate. In the overview as shown in Fig. It is less than 2 in 1000. If people with mild symptoms and ATK are included, the mortality rate is less than 1 in 1000.
When the number of patients is this large and the trend is increasing. What everyone has to help each other is reduce the transmission of disease as much as possible
People who test positive for ATK and have no symptoms. Isolate yourself. It may not be necessary to verify at all. to behave like an infected person with no symptoms or few symptoms There will be a cost for the examination. It probably depends more on the symptoms. Suppose if we are infected with more than 50,000 ATK including all RT PCR tests and risk group screening again. Currently, we examine about 50,000 people a day, and if we have to increase the examination to 100,000 people, the examination fee is 1,000 baht per person, we will have to spend 100 million baht per day for the examination.
those who have symptoms will have to distinguish how many symptoms If symptoms are mild and are able to isolate at home, stay home. Because now we know that most of them have mild symptoms. If the body is healthy or young In addition to being a risk group that must be confirmed quickly and received treatment current situation would be impossible that everyone when the infection is detected must stay in the hospital