With eastern Ukraine in flames, will the invasion be a “memorial of Crimea”?

Moscow tensions between Kiev And loyal separatists have an excuse to take action "worst case scenario" The invasion of Ukraine, where more than tens of thousands of soldiers are massing near the border, in an explosive situation has caused the worst crisis between the West and Moscow since the end of the Cold War.

The Russian aggression began Ukraine On February 20, 2014, a military operation to seize the Crimea, and later, Russian forces and militiamen loyal to them occupied parts of the two regions. "Donetsk and Luhansk" The two Ukrainians.

Strong European American reaction

The expert in international and strategic affairs, Anas Al-Qassas, said: The alliance and cooperation between Europe and America this time, despite the German neutral position, surprised Russian PresidentVladimir Putin, and it is not the case as well in 2014, when he did not find a strong objection at the time, except from Washington.

Al-Qassas added, in an interview with "Sky News Arabia", that the Russian crowds on the Ukrainian border are not war crowds; Because it lacks many auxiliary services such as fuel, medical services, etc. Putin provokes the West; To get the greatest gains from security guarantees to preserve its areas of influence.

He pointed out that the Russian withdrawal is real and not illusory, but what is happening in Donbass region Eastern Ukraine is the result of Putin, who follows an old strategy, which is to have the last blow and the last word, and to end the process in his hand, not by European-American pressure. Skirmishes will not amount to war, which is usual in this region, but it witnessed an escalation during the past hours; To save the face of the Russian President.

Western moves

Europe and America are speeding up their movements in preparation for what they considered "An invasion could happen at any time" By increasing military support to Ukraine as well as eastern European countries, and also putting more pressure on Russia and its ally Belarus In order to prevent any military tension that might have repercussions on the whole world.

In a joint statement, France and Germany called on Russia to pressure the Ukrainian separatists to reduce the escalation, and US President Joe Biden held a meeting on Friday with a number of leaders of European and NATO countries. NATO Canada; To discuss the developments of the crisis in Ukraine, stressing that "The risks of a Russian military invasion of Ukraine are very high and there are indications of that".

as conducted US Defense SecretaryLloyd Austin paid a surprise visit to Poland in which he talked about a possible invasion and even expected that Poland would witness a wave of displacement from Ukraine, stressing the United States’ support for its allies in Eastern Europe and the provision of equipment to Ukraine to enable it to defend itself.

Ukraine tops the Munich talks

The crisis in Ukraine topped the speeches of all speakers at the largest international security event in Munich, which kicked off Friday with the participation of 25 presidents, prime ministers and more than 100 ministers, while Kamala Harris, US Vice President Joe Biden, German Chancellor Olaf Schultz, and United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, European Union Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

وقال US Secretary of StateAnthony Blinken, it’s "Additional Russian forces have been spotted moving towards Ukraine’s borders, contrary to Russia’s claims of withdrawal.. What is happening in eastern Ukraine follows a well-known scenario: they are creating false provocations, the announced withdrawal of forces did not happen, on the contrary, Russia may be trying to legitimize an offensive".

In turn, the Secretary-General of the United Nations warned, Antonio Guterresfrom the repercussions "disastrous"If the crisis erupts, "Russian – Ukrainian" and the outbreak of war.

The UN official added: "With the heavy deployment of Russian soldiers in the vicinity of Ukraine, I am deeply concerned about the escalation of tensions and the rising speculation of a military conflict in Europe." Adding that if that happens "It will be disastrous".

pseudoscience scenario

For its part, the German Foreign Ministry said that it was likely a Russian operation inside Ukraine, similar to a coup "A false flag scenario, by Russia, in Ukraine, which is the most likely scenario of a full invasion".

And"pseudoscience process" It is a political term meaning taking an action with the intent of concealing the actual source of responsibility and blaming another party.

German Foreign Minister Annalena Barbock explained: "A full invasion scenario might be possible, but I’m also not sure that’s really the most likely scenario, I’d be more afraid that the more likely scenario is a pseudo-science operation or a coup or other things like a cyber attack on Ukraine".

“>

There are international concerns that take Moscow tensions between Kiev And separatists loyal to it have a pretext to launch the “worst case scenario” and invade Ukraine, where more than tens of thousands of soldiers are massed near the border, in an explosive situation that has caused the worst crisis between the West and Moscow since the end of the Cold War.

The Russian aggression began Ukraine On February 20, 2014, a military operation to seize Crimea, and later, Russian forces and militiamen loyal to them, occupied parts of the Ukrainian “Donetsk and Luhansk” regions.

Strong European American reaction

The expert in international and strategic affairs, Anas Al-Qassas, said: The alliance and cooperation between Europe and America this time, despite the German neutral position, surprised Russian PresidentVladimir Putin, and it is not the case as well in 2014, when he did not find a strong objection at the time, except from Washington.

Al-Qassas added, in an interview with “Sky News Arabia”, that the Russian crowds on the Ukrainian borders are not war crowds; Because it lacks many auxiliary services such as fuel, medical services, etc. Putin provokes the West; To get the greatest gains from security guarantees to preserve its areas of influence.

He pointed out that the Russian withdrawal is real and not illusory, but what is happening in Donbass region Eastern Ukraine is the result of Putin, who follows an old strategy, which is to have the last blow and the last word, and to end the process in his hand, not by European-American pressure. Skirmishes will not amount to war, which is usual in this region, but it witnessed an escalation during the past hours; To save the face of the Russian President.

Western moves

Europe and America are accelerating their movements in preparation for what they considered “an invasion that may happen at any time” by increasing military support for Ukraine as well as eastern European countries, as well as more pressure on Russia and its ally. Belarus In order to prevent any military tension that might have repercussions on the whole world.

In a joint statement, France and Germany called on Russia to pressure the Ukrainian separatists to reduce the escalation, and US President Joe Biden held a meeting on Friday with a number of leaders of European and NATO countries. NATO Canada; To discuss the developments of the crisis in Ukraine, stressing that “the risks of a Russian military invasion of Ukraine are very high and there are indications of that.”

as conducted US Defense SecretaryLloyd Austin paid a surprise visit to Poland in which he talked about a possible invasion and even expected that Poland would witness a wave of displacement from Ukraine, stressing the United States’ support for its allies in Eastern Europe and the provision of equipment to Ukraine to enable it to defend itself.

Ukraine tops the Munich talks

The crisis in Ukraine topped the speeches of all speakers at the largest international security event in Munich, which kicked off Friday with the participation of 25 presidents, prime ministers and more than 100 ministers, while Kamala Harris, US Vice President Joe Biden, German Chancellor Olaf Schultz, and United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, European Union Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

وقال US Secretary of StateAnthony Blinken, that “additional Russian forces were observed moving towards the borders of Ukraine, contrary to Russia’s claims of withdrawal.. What is happening in eastern Ukraine follows a well-known scenario: they create false provocations, the announced withdrawal of forces did not happen, but on the contrary they may try Russia legitimize the attack.”

In turn, the Secretary-General of the United Nations warned, Antonio Guterresof “disastrous” repercussions in the event of the outbreak of the “Russian-Ukrainian” crisis and the outbreak of war.

“With the heavy deployment of Russian soldiers in the vicinity of Ukraine, I am deeply concerned about the escalation of tensions and the rising speculation of a military conflict in Europe,” the UN official added, adding that if this happened, “it would be catastrophic.”

pseudo-science scenario

For its part, the German Foreign Ministry said that it is likely a Russian operation inside Ukraine, which resembles a coup “a false flag scenario, by Russia, in Ukraine, which is the most likely scenario than a full invasion.”

“Operation pseudoscience” is a political term meaning taking an action with the intent of concealing the actual source of responsibility and blaming another party.

“A full invasion scenario might be possible, but I’m also not sure that’s really the most likely scenario,” German Foreign Minister Annalena Barbock explained. Ukraine”.

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.